I'm wondering what creative skills people think are most future-proofed, given that AI, like the DALL-e 2 system, is automating custom photos and artwork.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X3_LD3R_Ygs
Creating something like a feature-length movie may be the hardest thing for an AI to produce, in that so many artistic layers and systems come together to produce something like that.
Within something like a movie production, which individual skillsets are safest from supplanting?
Here is what I imagine is the easiest to hardest list of skills that can be supplanted with AI. I don't mean a complete replacement of those skills, but rather perhaps 80-90% of the traditional workload reduced.
Thoughts?
Graphic design, creative art - such as with Dall-e 2.
Musical scores.
SpecialFX, common and automated ones.
Simple to medium complexity animations.
Quality video cutting/editing (picking the best pieces to show).
Professional grade, creative, story-based writing.
Complex animations.
Real-world quality video footage. (like the Dall-e 2 of the video world)
Limitless video imagination: Video mux of real-world quality footage, CGI, special effects.
. These are random but performance art — theater, dance, etc — is relatively future-proof as it's often an appreciation of humanity. Documentary work commentary, opinionated, and journalism to some degree.
A decent chunk of liberal arts would be somewhat protected but AI might end up getting us all lol
I think the more high level you go, the less AI is able to automate.
In software, sure, an AI can write a rough draft of a feature, but the overall software architecture, the way you're solving a problem that's hard to automate.
In movies, I think it all starts with the scripts, the story you want to tell. You then create characters, and then give life to those characters (which is where AI is starting to creep in).
So DALL-e can "draw" what you want it to draw, but at the end of the day you write the prompt.
In the case of movie production, surely the scriptwriting? Arguably, this is the most creative part of the process. Without a story, there's nothing to develop.
That's a really good point. The scriptwriting would be harder than even a complex visual video.
https://willrobotstakemyjob.com/writers-and-authors
Only 8% chance of automation... currently.
With Dall-e 2 , it's not a huge leap to see that system generate quality video and animation sometime in the next few years . e.g. feed it:
"Man runs down city street chased by green ghost. "
The AI then generates high-quality video visuals, based on all the known visuals that it has learnt.
Even though the ideation still comes from the human, the (bulk of the) work itself is auto-generated.
It seems like a general rule may be the greater the seed ideation the more difficult AI will find to automate it.
Out of interest, AI has generated some spectacular musical symphonies.
I just wonder how long will it take before AI can produce quality stories from some basic concepts? If someone turns stories into a formula, and the AI learns from existing stories, it could determine commonalities. The real power of AI lies in it answering questions that humans haven't asked. So it finds patterns that even we don't know about. It asks questions we don't (directly) feed it.
If it can 'learn to read', that is, find some form of reasonable 'understanding' in texts, then that opens pandora's box. Maybe that is getting closer to the singularity talked about, which is still some time off, around 2040-2050 most of the experts say.
AI these days are not real AI. They are just algorithms to do something. They don't really ponder or do anything unique. The other way to look at it is where would automation take the jobs away: Anything repetitive that can be categorized and do better by a bot.
Creative works can be aided by AI systems but not fully created.
When it comes to AI, you can tell it what to do but not how to do it exactly. Think of when you read a book then watch a film adaptation, the film script and the book might be the exact same in content but the way you imagined how the film visually would play out is totally different to how the film actually is.
In other words, AI at it's current state will never be able to progress beyond how you yourself imagine something to be. But that may all change with neuralink and BCI's.
Just my 2 cents.